AAPL spent three months in a range, with support at 193.25 and resistance at 216.23. The day after Apple announced a bigger U.S. investment, it opened above resistance while the whole market trended up.
Why it was strong
- •Price action: Resistance broken easily. 216.23 capped every rally from May to early August. On Aug 7 AAPL opened at 218.88 and never traded back under it that day.
- •News: On Aug 6, 2025, Apple announced a new $100 billion U.S. commitment. AAPL closed at 213.25 that day, up from 202.92, but still under 216.23.
- •Technical analysis: Multi-week support bounce. Support at 193.25 held on May 7, May 23 (low 193.46) and Jun 18 (low 195.07), then the range top broke.
- •Market: SPY, the fund that tracks the S&P 500, is the read on the whole market. It was in an uptrend: on Aug 7 it closed above its 20, 50 and 200-day averages (the average close of the last 20, 50 and 200 sessions).
The plan
- Entry
- Calls on a break above 216.23. Aug 7 opened at 218.88, already above it, so 218.88 is the entry.
- Stop
- Back under 216.23. That puts AAPL back inside the old range, and the breakout has failed.
- First target
- 225. AAPL topped out there from Mar 26 to Apr 2, 2025 (highs of 225.02, 225.62 and 225.19), right before the April drop.
Risk 2.65 to gain 6.12 = 2.3:1. The guide asks for at least 2-3X, and this meets it.
What happened: Aug 7 closed at 220.03 and never traded under 216.23. The next day AAPL traded up to 231.00, through the 225 target, and it closed at 245.50 on Sep 19.
Lesson: When price action, news and the market all point the same way at a key level, the setup is strong.
Sources: Apple Newsroom, The White House, Investing.com. Prices: Yahoo Finance daily data.




